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** A warm humid Saturday on the way then Strong to Severe Thunderstorms developing this afternoon mainly after 4 P.M. and then continuing into the evening. The Tornado threat today is mainly in western Minnesota near Fergus Falls and Alexandria but the Ruttgers/Bay Lake area may be under the threat for an isolated Tornado between 4 P.M. and 9 P.M. - the main Severe weather threat will be heavy rainfall in a short period of time and gusty winds over 50 mph. People heading onto Bay Lake should carefully monitor changing weather conditions today and be alert for isolated thunderstorms as early as 1 P.M. but the Severe Weather threat is mainly after 4 P.M. Thunderstorms will continue this evening and then push east of the area on Sunday. 7/17/2010 Jonathan Yuhas
** Lake water temperatures are in the upper 70s on Bay Lake right now. Usually 70 degree lake water is the point in which it is safe to swim - lake water temperatures at Bay Lake reach highest levels of about 80 degrees in July.
The average temperature at Bay Lake in July goes from an average high of 78 degrees and an average low of 56 degrees on July 1st to an average high of 81 degrees and average low of 58 degrees on July 31st. Jonathan Yuhas
TODAY: Partly cloudy, warm and humid with a slight chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm after 1 P.M. then thunderstorms approaching from the west after 4 P.M. and some could be Severe with heavy rain, hail and damaging winds especially with the storms in the late afternoon and early evening - chance of rain 20% 1 P.M. to 4 P.M. then 60% 4 P.M. to 7 P.M. and 100% after 7 P.M.
High: 86 degrees ( very humid with a dew points near 65 to 70 degrees )
Wind: Southeast winds at 4 - 8 mph but higher gusts near thunderstorms.
Chance for Rain today: 20% 1 P.M. to 4 P.M. then 60% 4 P.M. to 7 P.M. and 100% after 7 P.M.
** The UV Index today is 8, which is HIGH, meaning you can sunburn in 15 minutes in the noon sun with out sun block even in cloudy conditions.
7 P.M. Weather: Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms in the area and some could be Severe - temperatures will be around 80 degrees with West winds at 10 to 15 mph. Sunset tonight is 8:59 P.M. - chance for rain is 60%.
TONIGHT: Cloudy with scattered thunderstorms - some of the storms could be Severe before 10 P.M. then some storms will produce heavy rains at times.
Low: 62 degrees.
Wind: South at 7 to 14 mph then becoming West-Northwest at 8 to 16 mph after 3 A.M. - higher gusts near thunderstorms.
Chance for rain tonight: 100% after 8 P.M.
SUNDAY: Scattered showers at sunrise then partly cloudy with decreasing humidity in the afternoon.
High: 80 degrees ( dew point temperatures will be in the humid low 60s in the morning falling into the comfortable upper 50s in the late afternoon ).
Wind: Northwest at 8 to 16 mph.
Chance for rain: 60% at sunrise then 20% through 10 A.M. and 0% after 10 A.M.
7 P.M. Clear to partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the mid 70s and West winds at 6 to 12 mph. Chance for rain is 0%. Sunset Sunday night is 8:59 P.M.
Extended Outlook for the Ruttgers area at Bay Lake, MN:
MONDAY..............................75...Partly cloudy with a slight chance for an isolated thunderstorm - chance for rain during the day is 20%.
TUESDAY...............................80...Partly cloudy and humid with a chance for thunderstorms in the evening - chance for rain is 20% 4 P.M. through 10 P.M. then 70% after 10 P.M.
WEDNESDAY..........................83...Cloudy with scattered thunderstorms in the morning then partly cloudy and humid in the afternoon with a slight chance for an isolated thunderstorm - chance for rain is 60% before noon and 20% in the afternon.
Average high through the extended period is 81 degrees and the average low is 58 degrees.
Bay Lake Climate Data for today.
Average high:....81 degrees
Average low:.....58 degrees.
Jonathan Yuhas KARE 11 7/17/2010
Click on the boxes below to view live radar data from the National Weather Service in Minneapolis/St.Paul, Duluth/Superior and Fargo/Grand Forks. The radars will indicate active areas of thunderstorms and rain near the Bay Lake/Brainerd areas - Bay Lake is about 20 miles southeast of Brainerd.