Friday, May 15, 2009

Friday May 15, 2009

** A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSBILE EARLY THIS EVENING - a line of thunderstorms some Strong to Severe will develop ahead of a strong cold front in western Minnesota late this afternoon - the thunderstorms have a slight potential to be Severe with frequent cloud to ground lightning, heavy downpours, hail and wind gust over 50 mph on the leading edge of the storms - while not a high chance there could also be a breif funnel with any of the Severe storms - the greatest Severe weather threat is for hail and +50 mph wind gusts - behind the storms it will be windy with Northwest winds tonight and much cooler temperatures for the weekend with scattered frost Sunday morning as temperatures fall to near 30 degrees. Cool weather will continue for the upcoming weekend but by next Wednesday May 20th temperatures could be near 80 degrees! If you are planting things outside be careful as some patchy frost is possible this weekend on Sunday morning as lows fall into the low to mid 30s. Spring is moving slow this year but things are greening up quickly now around the Bay Lake area! Lilacs are blooming in Minneapolis now and should bloom around May 20 in the Bay Lake area.

TODAY: Increasing clouds during the afternoon with breezy conditions and a chance for some spotty showers or sprinkles around noon then a chance for thunderstorms after 3 P.M. but most likely around 6 P.M. - some of the storms could be Severe with frequent lightning, heavy downpours, hail and high winds - chance for rain is 20% between 12 P.M. and 3 P.M. then 40% at 3 P.M. and 50% at 4 P.M. and 70% after 5 P.M. - chance for Severe Thunderstorms after 4 P.M. is 20% and the Severe Weather threat will end after 8 P.M.

High: 70 degrees.

Wind: Southeast 10 to 20 mph through 3 P.M. then becoming Southwest at 10 to 20 mph after 3 P.M. and West-Northwest at 10 to 20 mph after 7 P.M. but higher gusts likely near thunderstorms.

Chance for rain today: 20% from 12 P.M. to 3 P.M. then 40% at 3 P.M. and 50% at 4 P.M. and 70% after 5 P.M. through 8 P.M.

** The UV Index today is 6, which is MODERATE, meaning you can sunburn in 25 minutes in the noon sun with out sun block even in cloudy conditions.

7 P.M. Weather: Cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms - a Strong to Severe thunderstorm is possible at 7 P.M. then non-Severe thunderstorms possibe through 9 P.M. - temperatures will be in the mid 60s but falling fast into the 50s with the rain and 40s later tonight - winds will be strong and gusty switching to the Northwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts at times. Sunset 8:36 P.M.

TONIGHT: Cloudy and much cooler with scattered showers through 3 A.M.

Low: 36 degrees.

Wind: Northwest 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Chance for rain tonight: 80% through 12 A.M. then 30% 1 A.M. through 6 A.M.

SATURDAY: Cloudy, windy and cold in the morning then becoming partly cloudy during the afternoon but still breezy and very cool for mid May - a frost is likely by sunrise Sunday morning.

High: 52 degrees

Wind: Northwest 10 to 20 mph but higher gusts in the morning making for choppy lake waters - the winds will fall below 15 mph in the late afternoon.

Chance for rain: 30% 12 A.M. through 6 A.M. then 0% the rest of the day.

7 P.M. Clear and very cool - temperatures will be in the mid 40s with West-Northwest winds at 4 to 8 mph.

Lows by Sunday morning will be near 30 degrees at sunrise.

Extended Outlook:

SUN.....................60.......Sunny to partly cloudy - pleasant but cool for May.

MON.....................68.......Partly cloudy, breezy and warmer with a slight chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm - chance for rain is 20%.

Average high through the extended period is 69 degrees and the average low is 46 degrees.

Bay Lake Climate Data for today.

Average high:....67 degrees

Average low:.....44 degrees.

Sunrise:...5:43 A.M.

Sunset:....8:36 P.M.

Jonathan Yuhas KARE 11 5/15/2009

Click on the boxes below to view live radar data from the National Weather Service in Minneapolis/St.Paul, Duluth/Superior and Fargo/Grand Forks. The radars will indicate active areas of thunderstorms and rain near the Bay Lake/Brainerd areas - Bay Lake is about 20 miles southeast of Brainerd.